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                                                                                                                                                                          网络现金赌场:瑞达期货:受煤价上涨的影响,郑煤呈现偏涨行情

                                                                                                                                                                          2019-02-01 18:33 中信达青年报

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:受煤价上涨的影响,郑煤呈现偏涨行情)

                                                                                                                                                                          盘面情况:ZC905日内减仓上行,最高报590.0,最低报583.0,收盘589.0,较上一交易日+1.52%;成交量128804,-100790;持仓255100,-6932;基差4.2,-0.6;ZC5-9月价差0,+2.8。

                                                                                                                                                                          消息:1、鄂尔多斯市统计局消息,2018年1-12月,鄂尔多斯市煤炭产量61615万吨,同比增加4334万吨,增长7.6%,上升0.9个百分点。2018年12月月份,鄂尔多斯市煤炭产量5848万吨,同比增加21万吨,增长0.4%,下降5.9个百分点。2、2018年,国家能源集团煤炭产量5.1亿吨,同比增长3.7%;煤炭销量6.8亿吨,同比增长1.9%。

                                                                                                                                                                          市场报价:

                                                                                                                                                                          秦皇岛港山西优混(Q5500V28S0.5)平仓含税价报589元/吨,较上一交易日持平;山西晋城动力煤(Q5500S1V12)车板含税价报546元/吨,较上一交易日持平;澳大利亚动力煤(Q5500,A<22,V>25,S<1,MT10)CFR(不含税)报76美元/吨,较上一交易日持平。

                                                                                                                                                                          仓单库存:仓单0张,+0。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:当日主力合约前20名净多持仓量84628手,净空持仓量87865手,净空持仓量3237手,维持净空持仓,净空持仓量呈现减少。

                                                                                                                                                                          总结:

                                                                                                                                                                          目前国内动力煤市场偏稳运行,下游采购节奏放缓,产地煤价相对持稳。下游电厂日耗继续下跌,厂内库存仍然偏高,外采需求疲软。新一轮雨雪天气即将来临,后续还需继续关注电厂日耗变动情况,市场对于节后动力煤价格预期偏好,所以在双焦期价大涨的带动下,郑煤期价也呈现偏涨行情,预计节后动力煤市场或偏稳运行。技术上,ZC905合约,日内减仓上行,MACD红色动能柱呈现扩大,节后郑煤期价或偏稳。操作上,建议580附近买入,止损参考573。

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